Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Why There Are No Political Environmental Leaders

The political leaders of this country cannot possibly lead us to environmental and sustainable success. This is because they are entirely dependent on the system of environmental exploitation that causes the problems in the first place.



The Clinton-Obama energy plan - Politico.com



Clinton thinks burning tires is a good way to produce power. Obama thinks that coal-to-liquids is a good idea. Why? Because both of these ideas make money for large groups that can vote for them. They don't support these ideas because the are good for the world (they are both extraordinarily bad ideas).



There will be no major elected political leaders who push real sustainability because real sustainability is bad for business, and business is what drives the political system.



Capitalistic business isn't the only way to do things of course. The market works the way that it does for the same reason that the game of Monopoly works the way that it does. There is a set of rules that creates the dynamics we see. In the real world it is the same. Decades ago a small group of powerful men wrote the rules of our monetary system based on some ideas about how the economy should work. Of course these rules are designed with many goals, but stability among them, and fairness to everyone not.



Have you ever asked yourself "What, exactly, is money"? Paper? Gold? Value? Labor? None of the above. The answer is that money is simply barter. Barter is anything you can trade with someone else to get what you want. It could be goods (I'll trade you a pepper for that potato), it could be services (I'll till your garden for that firewood), it could be information (I'll teach you how to vermipost for first pick of your tomato harvest). If money is simply barter, then what is so special about it that the government makes, distributes and enforces the rules for cash?



On a large scale barter is inefficient. That is, it slows down trade and is difficult to tax. To make trade more efficient we introduce the idea of money, an item of barter that nearly everyone accepts. As long as everyone has some, trade is much easier because everybody has something to trade with someone else. Early on gold and silver made good money because they were impossible to counterfeit and the supply grew at a rate that roughly matched the quantity of goods that were traded. Gold is itself a good as it is pretty (and today useful in an industrial sense), so it has a bit of intrinsic value, but it is important to understand that this intrinsic value is unrelated to it's utility as money.



For money to be useful one has to have some. Thus, the money supply in an economy must grow and contract at a rate equal to that of the stuff available for trade. When the money supply does not expand or contract at the same rate as the stuff, you get inflation or deflation, the value of money relative to stuff in general goes up or down. This is a bad thing for most people, it makes it difficult to know how much money you should trade your for your stuff, and it changes the buying power of the money that you have saved.



If someone discovers a way to make lots of good, useful stuff and starts flooding the market with it (say, oil or products derived from oil, like plastic), you really need to add more money to the system. Otherwise money starts getting concentrated in one place, starving other parts of the economy of this essential barter item, slowing down trade and preventing people (who, having become depending on trading with money, no longer have viable barter networks and practices) from obtaining the things that they need.



So, as a government, how do you get money into the system? You can't add gold, there is a finite supply of it, once it is all in circulation you end up with deflation and depression. One way is to create what we call 'Fractional Reserve Banking'. We already have institutions where people store the money they aren't using. That unused money can be lent out, for a fee, for other people to use. This is a very reasonable full reserve banking system. Money is kept in circulation where it can be useful.



As a banker, you have to have money (deposits) to lend it out in order to bring in more money. If you could just pretend to have deposits to lend out you could bring in money even if you had already lent out all the deposits you had available. Essentially you, as a banker, create money and lend it out just as if you were lending out real deposits. The idea of gold as money is obviously redundant in this sort of system, so you naturally unlink your currency from gold and bootstrap into a 'fiat' system. This is a great deal for you as a banker, you essentially get paid simply by virtue of being a 'bank', a special kind of organization that has the privilege of creating money. This also increases the amount of money in circulation, helping to ensure that everybody has something to trade to get the things they need.  Win-Win situation, right?



Not quite. The original goal is to make sure that there is enough 'money' in the system to allow people to easily trade goods. This fractional reserve fiat system does that, but it also attaches a lot of strings to that money. You bootstrap into this system with a quantity of money in the system. A good portion of this money is owned outright, no strings attached. Now when you need to add money to the system every unit of that new money has strings attached to it. Someone, somewhere borrowed that money into existence and is paying for that service. Until such time as the loan that created the money is paid off, someone is paying interest on that money.



This is a simplified view of how the system really works. In the real world the Federal Reserve, a private bank that does business with the government, exchanges government 'bonds' for dollars in order to increase or decrease the money supply.



This system of rules does pretty much what it's brilliant, powerful and very rich creators wanted. It gives the government a way to control the money supply, a very useful and necessary thing, and it creates a system with dynamics that tend to concentrate wealth with the wealthy, a very useful thing for the wealthy, and not so great for the other 99.99% of us.



The system is designed specifically to create the sort of capitalistic economy we have. It is carefully designed, controlled and balanced by people with power to benefit people with power as much as possible without falling apart. It is not designed to be stable or fair, or to primarily ensure that useful barter is easily available to people who need it. It requires constant tinkering and tweaking to keep it from toppling over and it is exquisitely sensitive to market conditions. This is a system designed to maximize the rate of extraction of natural resources and the accumulation of wealth, or, in other words, it is designed for capitalism.



Is it possible to have a system that maximizes the extraction of natural resources in a sustainable way? Can it do that if there are real people with their greed and selfishness in play? Nope. At least, not with the shallow culture of consumerism that exists today. If we had a culture that recognized consumerism as one of the deep roots of unsustainable practices then yes, it might work. But our monetary and financial systems are one of the major factors in the conversion of our culture into a vapid consumeristic herd. If we are to build a culture of sustainability we must eliminate the market forces that push culture away from sustainability. We have to change the rules that make us what we are.



Political leaders are elected by voters. Voters vote for leaders that they think will make rules that make it easer for voters to consume more. Voters want to consume more because they are embedded in a culture that is driven to consume by the rules it has created. The rules are created by political leaders.

Smart Systems for Efficient Power Use

This brief article suggests that dumb control systems for lighting, AC and other such systems make efficiency difficult to achieve. Better control systems for these amenities would result in more power savings.



No Efficiency Without Controls



Interestingly, the comments point out that more intelligent design of the buildings would reduce the need for systems that must be controlled. Dumb building designs require smart control of systems, smart building designs reduce the need for systems.



Why do you keep a big gas-fired/electric-powered tank of hot water in your cold basement? Wouldn't it make more sense to keep it in a south-facing solar collector box in your attic?



Why do you have to use electric lights in your house during the day? Wouldn't it make more sense to use daylight?



Why do you light up the whole room with 1000W of incandescent bulbs? Wouldn't it make more sense to use 100W of directed task lights and maybe some low power, directed ambient lighting?

Great Local Foods Article in Mother Jones

I ran across this great article in Mother Jones today:



Seeing Red: Eating Locally and Debunking the Red-Blue Divide



It fits in nicely with yesterday's post regarding the importance of the things we do:

I certainly sense that when urban friends ask me how I can stand living
here, "so far from everything." (When I hear this question over the
phone, I'm usually looking out the window at a forest, a running creek,
and a vegetable garden, thinking: "Define 'everything.'")
The article is quite a mix of topics, delightfully rambling and fun to read, with some important insights about local food production.

Monday, May 28, 2007

Biodiesel Impact

More news about the impact of biodiesel.



IOL: Palm oil puts squeeze on endangered orangutan



You can't continue to consume if you care about the natural world. To consume you must take from the natural world. If you consume something else you just take from somewhere else and create new problems.



This article, though long, makes some very good points:



Digging dollars: make-work, agriculture and empire



Our make work is causing us to take shortcuts - our pointless jobs are causing us to break down and buy fast food because we don't have time to cook. They encourage us to dump chemicals on our gardens and lawns, rather than build soil - we don't have time for that. Our make work is cutting into the time we could spend playing with our kids, or educating them, taking care of elderly people we love or volunteering with others. It cuts into our time for community building, chopping wood, growing gardens, cleaning up messes, avoiding pollutants, being frugal, cooking dinner, making love, stopping the war. We're doing things that don't matter that actually make things worse. So we've got to stop.

Is all this stuff really worth what it is costing us? Sure it doesn't cost that many dollars, but look at the environmental impact. Is it worth it? I'm not saying we should go back to an agrarian society, though we should all be growing at least some of our own food. But our first concern in all things should be 'is this necessary?' followed by 'is this efficient?'.



Honestly I don't think it matters. We are too many and too ignorant. There will not be enough change in time.

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Space, Faster, Cheaper, Better.

A great read about Elon Musk's SpaceX venture. This is what I'd want to do with a billion dollars.



Elon Musk Is Betting His Fortune on a Mission Beyond Earth's Orbit

Monday, May 21, 2007

Eating Organic for Less Than You Thought Possible

A recent challenge had a couple of Congressmen attempting to feed themselves for about $21 a week, the minimum provided by food stamp programs. As noted in the linked article, that figure is a little absurd:



The $21/week figure is pretty arbitrary. Oregon Governor Ted Kulongoski ate on that amount for a week because it's the average amount Oregon food stamp recipients receive. Since then, all the other politicians have adopted that figure, but it's pretty meaningless - in reality, benefits range from $38.75/week per person (the maximum benefit), on down.
As I understand it, the amount anyone receives is based on their income. Everyone is expected to pay 1/3 of their income toward food costs. Of course, that's not always possible, so people do end up trying to live off their food stamp allotment - and to supplement it with Food Pantries and the like.

Realistically, most people on food stamps are getting a larger allotment and supplementing from their own income, as it should be. Unfortunately many of them are completely ignorant of home food preparation, otherwise known as 'cooking'. I grew up in a home where most meals were home-cooked. I know what chicken stock is, how it is made, and what to do with it. I think that what most people today think of as 'cooking' is really 'heating' (I suppose technically mac-n-cheese must be 'cooked' but I reject the idea that this activity is in the spirit of 'cooking'). IMO, if you don't at least know how to take a bag of flour and turn it into bread, you don't know how to cook (I'm not talking about those boxes of pre-mixed breadmaker ingredients either).



So, Rebecca Blood decided to give healthy, organic eating a try under a realistic price restriction:



The number I'm using - $74/week for the two of us - is the amount alloted for 2 people under the USDA's "Thrifty Food Plan" for February (the most recent one available when I started).
It's the government's assumption of the cost for a "Thrifty" healthy diet. It's the number that food stamp allotments are based on - as I understand the system, the Food Stamps are supposed to bring you up to the "Thrifty" amount.
The figure of $74 a week for two adults sounds pretty generous to me, unless you get your organic food from the local yuppie food boutique. Around here $20 at the local Farmers Market will get you quite a pile of vegetables. Maybe not all certified organic, but many of these people are the very same people selling their goods to the local organic food stores.



So, how does she do?

I've been so successful that I've come under the Thrifty Food Budget ($74/week) and the maximum Food Stamp benefit ($71/week) both weeks. Importantly, I haven't changed the way we eat to do this.
I think the most important ideas here are that most people think they are too busy to cook at home, that learning to cook is hard, or simply don't realize they multiple ways eating fast and manufactured foods do damage to the world and their bodies.



Follow the link for the whole article.



WorldChanging: Eating Organic on a Food Stamp Budget

The Law of Unintended Consequences

We're using too much fuel? No problem, we'll just use this magically green biofuel stuff. It's green right, so it can't hurt anything.



Think again.

— Indigenous people are being pushed off their lands to make way for an expansion of biofuel crops around the world, threatening to destroy their cultures by forcing them into big cities, the head of a U.N. panel said Monday.

Victoria Tauli-Corpuz, chairwoman of the U.N. Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues, said some of the native people most at risk live in Indonesia and Malaysia, which together produce 80 percent of the world’s palm oil — one of the crops used to make biofuels.

She said there are few statistics showing how many people are at risk of losing their lands, but in one Indonesian province the U.N. has identified 5 million indigenous people who will likely be displaced because of biofuel crop expansion.

“The speed with which this is happening we don’t really realize in our part of the world,” Ida Nicolaisen, an expert in indigenous cultures and member of the U.N. forum, said at a news conference. “Because the technology we have today and the economic resources that are at stake are so big, it happens overnight.” Rise of biofuel crops threatens native tribes





Our rate of resource consumption is not sustainable. You can't just switch to consuming something else to solve the problem. You have to stop consuming.



Beginning this week I am instituting a 'power down day' in my household. Electricity will be cut for 24 hours one day a week on a random day. Only the circuits to the freezer and the refrigerator will be left powered. The goals are to raise and maintain awareness of our dependence on others, our perceived dependence on electrical power and to develop our ideas about what things are truly necessary. This day will also be a minimal fuel day; miles driven will be kept to an absolute minimum (no going shopping to wait out the power down, no run to the store for stuff someone forgot or for prepared food).



I don't expect this initiative to be popular with the family. I do expect them to get used it though.

Saturday, May 19, 2007

The Open Source Nature of War

An interesting article about the changing nature of warfare in this modern world. It draws a parallel between open source software and the new way of waging war (that would be what the government calls terrorism, violence applied by groups other than nation-states).



Brave New War

Relocalization

Many realize that sustainability requires a local community and there are a number of resources available for people interesting in starting relocalization efforts.



Post Carbon Cities



relocalize.net

Still Denying It?

New Scientist recently published a good article addressing many of the claims of climate change deniers. If you are one of these unfortunately people, or if you would like to be familiar with their misunderstandings, try reading the 26 misconceptions explained here:



Climate change: A guide for the perplexed

Friday, May 18, 2007

Accident Prone

An interesting study in which researchers determined that 1 in 29 people are as much as 50% more likely to have accidents than the rest of the population. I'm sure insurance companies would be interested in being able to predict these people, so the can further reduce the point of having insurance, by un-distributing the cost of insurance.



Accident-prone people do exist - being-human - 16 May 2007 - New Scientist

Putting Things In Perspective

So you had a can of Coke today. Or maybe two. Maybe a bottle of water. You could have hung on to that can or bottle and dropped it into the recycle bin, but, you figured, its just a bit of plastic or aluminum, not a big deal.



Well, that is true, that one bit of pristine, highly recyclable material was just one little bit, but it is one bit of an enormous mountain of stuff consumed hourly by the United States. An artist has gone to some effort to try to impress us with the scale of consumption here. Follow the link to see a few images of his work, which consists of images composed of the stuff we toss out.



Images: American mass consumption, by the numbers | CNET News.com

Vectrix Electric Scooter

The Vectrix electric scooter, a production plug in battery-electric vehicle, is coming to the United States soon. While I'm not too happy with the $11,000 price tag, I do like the idea of a streetable electric scooter. This would be great for commuting gas-free.



Photos: All-electric scooter | CNET News.com



It really is over-priced though, by a factor of at least 3. While this device is very pretty I would bet that it would not be difficult to build an electric motorcycle oneself from off the shelf parts for $3000. It might not be as efficient, but that $8000 difference (not including finance charges) covers a heck of a lot of inefficiency.



Now, considering that mass production normally reduces the price of things, one could imagine that a mass produced electric motorcycle would be much cheaper than a home built rig. Nissan would agree. They are working on producing a $3000 car:



Under $3000: The Race To Build Really Cheap Cars (TreeHugger)



Of course it is gasoline, with a massive 33HP powerplant, but I would imagine that if it ever makes it to the American market it would be a popular car for electric conversions. A typical conversion uses some fairly sophisticated power controllers and a large electric motor, the combined price of which exceeds the purchase price of this vehicle.

Tuesday, May 08, 2007

Tornado Damage

After the recent near-total destruction of a small town in Kansas some people are calling for better tornado prediction and detection. Evidently the 20 minute warning that allowed residents to take cover such that while 95% of all buildings were destroyed, less than 1% of the population was injured.



It seems to me that the warning systems work quite well and it is the building systems that have failed. If these homes, smack in the middle of Tornado Alley, were built with the possibility of tornadoes in mind, as seems reasonable given the location, then this event would not have resulted in such a disaster.



Unfortunately, as usual, people fail to plan, choosing to gamble that they will only ever have to deal with minor disasters and that major events, for example, mile-and-a-half-wide tornadoes with 200+ MPH winds, will always go around them. They hope that if something major happens their government will come bail them out, forgetting that the government might have sent all the local National Guard equipment to Iraq or might perhaps have hired an incompetent person to direct FEMA. They forget that when it really comes down to surviving a disaster there is only one person who is ultimately responsible for their preparation.



If you plan for rainy days, what will you do when it storms?

Saturday, May 05, 2007

Response from Governor Heineman

Today I received a response from Nebraska Governor Dave Heineman to my letter regarding the issue of peak oil, which you can read in previous posts below. The text of the letter is as follows:



Thank you for sharing your concerns about the world reaching peak production of oil and the potential impacts, if that is indeed the case. Some take isue with Hubbard's premise. But, whatever the resource, it needs to be used wisely.



As you stated, the nation's transportation fuel dependence on petroleum does not have easy solutions. As we transition away from oil as a transportation fuel, there may be many parts to the solution. You highlighted some of them: increased vehicle efficiency, alternative fuels such as hydrogen or ethanol, electric vehicles, conservation and others.



I would hope Nebraska, which has been on the energy resource sidelines in the past, can be part of the nation's energy future. One of the keys to the state's economic future is adding value to the resources with which we have been blessed. That can be the sun, wind or crops. While ethanol by itself cannot solve the nation's petroleum dependence, it can start us down the path of reducing our foreign fuel dependency. I am very proud the state is on track to become the nation's second-largest producer of ethanol.



Thank you for sharing your thoughts with me.

This is pretty much what I expected, though it is a little disjointed and obviously partially composed of canned responses (I didn't mention Hubbard in my letter, and that sentence is an exact copy from the previous response I received from the governor's office). The response doesn't show any awareness of the importance of the GAO report (links below) the seriousness of the problem, or provide any hint that the governor has any clue what to do about the problem. He mentions 'hope' for the state's economic future as it concerns energy, but gives no indication that he is engaged in or plans any sort of activity to mitigate the effects of declining oil production.



I didn't really expect that he would.